The Domestic Economic Outlook

In his address, Dr. Gault will set the stage for the conference by presenting an outlook of what lies ahead for the U.S. economy. He will also discuss the perils created by data revisions, explaining how placing too much faith in initial data releases can lead to poor forecasting performance.

Dr. Nigel Gault
Managing Director
North American Macroeconomics Group
Global Insight, Inc.

The Keys to the White House: Forecast for 2008

Following his riveting keynote address at the February conference, Dr. Lichtman will present “The Keys to the White House,” a historically-based model that has forecast—well ahead of the actual elections—the winners of every presidential election from 1984 to 2004. He will explain the theory behind the model and reveal which party the Keys predict will be victorious in the 2008 election.

Dr. Allan J. Lichtman
Professor
American University

Business Forecast Systems in cooperation with the International Institute of Forecasters